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Bears at Packers: Predictions, Betting Odds and Lines

Author: American Gambler Staff | Last Updated: September 16, 2022

Sunday Night Football will feature one of the most storied rivalries in the NFL as we dive headlong into some Bears vs Packers odds and best bets. 

Fresh off an upset win in Week 1, the Bears will be gunning for another shocker in Week 2 at Lambeau Field against a Packer team that came out flat last week against Minnesota. 

Aaron Rodgers has a well-documented history of success against Chicago, going 22-5 throughout his career. Can he deliver once again?

Bears vs Packers odds

Per BetMGM

  • Betting Favorite: Packers (-10)
  • Moneyline Odds: Bears (+375), Packers (-500)
  • Point Total: 42.5 (over/under)
  • Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
  • TV Network: NBC

According to the latest Bears vs Packers odds, Green Bay (-10) is a prohibitive favorite. Oddsmakers fully expect the Pack to defend their home field and get their season heading in the right direction. 

Not a ton of scoring is expected with the over/under set at just 42.5. This is greatly influenced by a Bears offense that looks less than formidable on paper. 

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Last Week’s Performance 

While the Packers are expected to be among the top contenders in the NFC and the Bears are not, they got off to different starts than anticipated in Week 1.

The Bears stunned the San Francisco 49ers 19-10 through a combination of solid defense and timely offense. The Packers struggled on both sides of the ball and were upended by the Vikings 23-7. 

NFL betting strategy is greatly influenced by the quarterback position. While the Packers have a clear edge with Rodgers, it will interesting to see how the Green Bay offense fares after he struggled to gel with his receivers in Week 1. 

Bears and Packers Injury List

Both teams enter Thursday night relatively healthy. However, there are a few notable names on the injury report. Could it impact Bears vs Packers betting odds?

Bears Injuries

  • WR Velus Jones Jr (questionable)

Packers Injuries

  • WR Aaron Lazard (questionable)
  • OT David Bakhtiari (questionable)
  • G Elgton Jenkins (questionable)
  • LB Quay Walker (questionable)
  • LB Krys Barnes (injured reserve) 

Bears vs Packers head-to-head

Bears fans, look away! 

The Packers have dominated this matchup in recent years, prompting a memorable outburst from Rodgers in a win last season. 

Here are some head-to-head  figures to keep in mind when sizing up your Bears vs Packers picks:

  • Green Bay is 8-2 straight up in their last ten meetings
  • Green Bay is 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings
  • The over is 3-1 in the last four Bears/Packers matchups
  • Green Bay is averaging over 36 points per game in their last four meetings

As you can see, Chicago doesn’t have any positive betting angles to draw on from previous matchups.

Bears at packers: predictions, betting odds and lines

Bears recent record on the road

This will be the Bears' first road game of the season. Here’s a brief look at how they fared on the road in 2021:

Bears 2021 road trends

  • Straight up: 3-6
  • ATS: 3-6
  • ATS as an underdog: 3-5

Packers recent record at Lambeau Field

After delivering a dud at Minnesota last week, Green Bay will be eager to return home in front of a raucous Lambeau crowd. Here’s a snapshot of how the Packers performed at home a season ago:

Packers 2021 home trends: 

  • Straight up: 8-1
  • ATS: 7-2
  • ATS as a favorite: 6-2

Bears vs Packers prediction

 The latest Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers odds are skewed for a good reason. After surprising performances from both teams in Week 1, expect order to be restored on Sunday night. 

In recent meetings, the Packers have demolished the Bears, both straight up and against the spread.

Even though Green Bay does not possess the same offense we have seen in years past without Davante Adams,  Chicago has also lost some key pieces along their defensive line, with Akiem Hicks and Khalil Mack no longer sporting Bears' colors. 

Look for Rodgers to buy time in the pocket, allowing his inexperienced wideouts some extra time to get open. 

Last season the Bears ranked 27th in scoring and dead last in yards per game. They were able to keep pace in Week 1 thanks to inclement weather and shaky QB play from Trey Lance. They won’t have that luxury facing Rodgers here.

With virtually no betting trends favoring Chicago, it is impossible to back them with any confidence. 

Look for the Pack to roll

Prediction: Green Bay -10

Bears vs Packers best value bets

Despite the relatively lopsided spread, there is still value to be had with some of the Bears vs Packers odds on the prop betting markets. 

Here are some other bets to keep your eye on:

  • Packers over 27.5 points (+110)
  • Bears under 14.5 points (-105)
  • Packers on an adjusted line at -13.5 (+125)

American Gambler Staff