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What are correlated player prop bets and how to profit from them in NBA?
Correlated bets in the NBA are wagers that are indirectly related to one another. With player prop bets, correlation could tie into overall game outcomes in a number of ways.
Often, individual player prop numbers on NBA betting sites are set in advance of the game that will be played on the same day.
The point spread and total in an NBA game can sometimes move several points throughout the day as tipoff approaches. Frequently, the NBA player prop bets on those games remain unchanged even as the game lines adjust.
This shouldn’t be regarded as an angle shot by the customer since the actual line of the given prop is likely negligible. In fact, you only may be taking advantage of paying less vigorish on your specific prop.
Still, if a game total is moving down and there were props that you were interested in going UNDER on, you may have a bit of an edge on the line in a correlated way.
Suppose you wanted to bet under 220 on the Lakers vs Mavericks game over at BetMGM. Taking the under on point totals for Luka Doncic and Lebron James could be a possible correlated bet you could make.
It would make sense that if a game total or a particular point spread is headed in a particular direction, then the statistical output for the players in the game would likely be affected.
Because books are more focused on high-volume markets such as spreads and totals, these props may often not be adjusted until a decent amount of action comes in on the likely value side.
You can make correlated plays as part of a multi-leg parlay or as separate standalone wagers.