Two ranked SEC West teams are set to play this Saturday in Fayetteville as we examine the latest Alabama vs Arkansas odds.
The teams enter this weekend at a combined 7-1 record, with Arkansas having dropped their game this past weekend against another ranked SEC West rival in Texas A&M.
Both teams might be ranked, but Alabama currently claims a much higher rank at #2. How likely are the Razorbacks to pull out a victory and shake up the playoff picture?
Alabama vs Arkansas Odds
- Betting Favorite: Alabama -17.5
- Moneyline Odds: Alabama -800, Arkansas +550
- Point Total: 60.5 Over/Under
- Location: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
- Time/Network: 3:30 PM EST | CBS
Alabama (+275) enters the weekend with the second-best odds of winning the national championship, behind the reigning champs, Georgia. Arkansas (+25000) currently ties Kansas State, Maryland, and Oregon State for the 29th-best odds.
In examining this Alabama vs Arkansas preview, The Tide (-17.5) are massive road favorites here, as oddsmakers expect them to cruise through another formidable SEC foe. NCAAF odds are generally much more slanted than you will find with NFL betting.
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Last Week’s Performances
Alabama beat Vanderbilt 55-3 at home last week, giving them a 3-0 record through their first three home games this season. Between Vanderbilt, Louisiana-Monroe, and Utah State, they’ve won those games by a combined score of 173-10.
Arkansas narrowly lost last week to Texas A&M on a neutral field – albeit one that might’ve favored the aggies in AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Razorbacks gained more first downs and total yardage than the Aggies while committing fewer penalties but ultimately lost by a narrow 21-23 margin.
It was the first game of the Razorbacks’ season in which they failed to eclipse 30 points, leading to a loss despite the defense holding the Aggies to fewer points than any of their three prior opponents.
Alabama vs Arkansas Key Players
Here are some big names to watch on Saturday that could significantly impact Alabama vs Arkansas betting odds.
- QB Bryce Young
- RB Jase McClellan
- RB Jahmyr Gibbs
- LB Will Anderson
- QB K.J. Jefferson
- HB Raheim Sanders
- LB Bumper Pool
- LB Drew Sanders
Alabama vs Arkansas Head-to-Head
Nick Saban has yet to lose a game to Arkansas in his time as head coach at Alabama. In 15 contests in that time between these teams, Alabama has gone 15-0. Against the spread, however, Alabama is only 5-5 against Arkansas in their last ten games dating back to 2012.
The latest Alabama vs Arkansas odds would lead you to believe this is a total mismatch, but the recent history tells a different story (at least when it comes to ATS).
Alabama Recent Road Trends
Alabama boasts a 1-0 record on the road this season, but that game was a notoriously close one against the Texas Longhorns. Despite their dominance over the rest of their schedule, Alabama needed a heroic sequence at the end of regulation from quarterback Bryce Young to escape Austin with a 20-19 victory.
In their second-most recent road game – against Auburn at the end of the 2021 season – the Crimson Tide won by a similarly close 24-22 margin in overtime.
2021 Alabama road trends:
- Straight up: 3-1
- ATS: 1-3
- ATS as the favorite: 1-3
Arkansas’ Recent Record at Razorback Stadium
Arkansas played their first three games of the season at home, winning all three of them and covering the spread in two. Spanning back to the end of the 2021 season, Arkansas is 6-0 in their last six home games, in each of which they scored 31 or more points while allowing 30 or fewer.
2021 Arkansas home trends:
- Straight up: 6-1
- ATS: 4-3
- ATS as an underdog: 1-0
Alabama vs Arkansas Predictions
While the Razorbacks face long odds according to the latest Alabama vs Arkansas odds, it’d be a departure from recent history if the Tide rolled into Fayetteville and ended the game long before the end of regulation or if they won by near enough to cover the 17.5-point spread. Arkansas isn’t ranked by accident – if they lose, it shouldn’t be by a vastly wider margin than they lost last week.
We saw Alabama struggle in their only road contest against Texas. That said, this is still a loaded team that has significantly more talent. Expect the Crimson Tide to pull out a victory by whatever means necessary and stay at the front of the playoff race. They aren't covering here, though.
Prediction: Alabama 34, Arkansas 31