The 2020 United States presidential primaries are giving voters a sense of which candidates have the best chance of challenging for the White House later this year, with both Democratic and Republican races already taking shape across the nation.
American Gambler has analysed primary election results and compared them with the biggest bets placed by the public thus far, both for and against each candidate.
This is based on betting data provided by the Betfair Exchange—the sports betting exchange website—where people can “back” (bet on the event to happen) and “lay” (bet on the event not to happen) options. According to the figures, Pete Buttigieg is the least “backed” candidate while the public is on Elizabeth Warren’s side in her battle to beat Amy Klobuchar, with the biggest bet against Klobuchar to win worth £177 ($230).
Warren looks likely to run as the “best of the rest” behind Democratic party favorites Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders, the two who appear most likely to form their own head-to-head battle early on in the primaries.
American Gambler also found that the public is still betting on women (like Hillary Clinton or Michelle Obama) who are yet to announce they will run for president this year. Surprisingly, author and former United States Ambassador to Japan, Caroline Kennedy, is “backed” as the most likely to win the U.S. election in 2020.
Kennedy is the only surviving child of the 35th President of the United States, John F. Kennedy—one of the most popular Presidents in modern history—and First Lady Jacqueline Bouvier Kennedy.
Top 5 most backed women (4 of them don’t run for president)
|Unlikely Candidate||Biggest Bet, £ TO WIN US ELection 2020|
Total wagered on the market: £12.819 ($16.685)
|Candidate||Biggest Bet, £ TO HAPPEN|
|Candidate||Biggest Bet, £ – NOT TO HAPPEN|
Ironically enough, betting on the 2020 U.S. Election is not currently permitted in the United States. Oddsmakers from betting sites in New Jersey, Indiana, Pennsylvania and Iowa did not set odds on the event, although the UK bookies did.
Who would you bet on to win US 2020 Presidential Election?— AmericanGambler #PlayLegal (@makeUSbetagain) February 17, 2020