Carlos Felipe vs. Justin Tafa Prediction
The only heavyweight fixture to feature at UFC Fight Island 7, a showdown between Carlos Felipe and Justin Tafa promises fireworks the likes of which no other fight on the card can muster.
In one corner, knockout specialist Tafa (4-1) returns to the Octagon for the first time since February, hoping to keep up his 100-percent finishing rate among his victories.
In the other, Felipe is hoping to string together successive wins for the first time since 2017, having beaten Yorgan De Castro in October to seal his maiden UFC victory. De Castro—the only opponent these two fighters share in common—handed Tafa his only career loss one year prior, offering at least one direct parallel why Felipe is a -195 moneyline favorite at William Hill NJ, WV, CO, IL, IA, PA Sportsbook.
‘Boi’ isn’t regarded as the biggest of power punchers among UFC heavyweights, evidenced by the fact his only win with the promotion thus far came via decision. However, Tafa’s lack of conditioning has left him open to damage in the past, an edge Felipe will be only too happy to exploit.
The favorite is a +225 shot to win on the judges’ scorecards or +188 to collect his seventh career win via KO/TKO, which looks highly plausible given Tafa is yet to see a third round in five fights.
Prediction: Felipe via KO/TKO (+188)