As a sports betting fanatic, there is nothing better than the Super Bowl. I will be closely watching and betting with a food lineup worthy of the big game.
I’ll be getting my bets in early, and then live bet on the action when the game begins. Caesars has over 2,000 betting options for the Super Bowl, and I have looked through all of my favorites.
Here are my best picks for Super Bowl LVI. All of the odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.
Tails Never Fails
You have to bet on the coin toss to get the betting action started. As the first event of the game, it is one of the most wagered on props of the Super Bowl. Six of the last eight years, it has been heads. Tails never fails, right?
Stafford Passing Yards Over
Matthew Stafford’s over/under for passing yards is set at 279.5. He’s thrown for over 330 yards in the last two playoff games.
The only time he has not hit that mark in the postseason was the first game against the Cardinals, which was a blowout. There was no need for him to do so, which will be the only threat once again.
If this is a close game, I don’t see a scenario where Stafford throws for under 300 yards. If their defense dominates, I may start to worry that they will play the clock.
Nonetheless, it’s one of my favorite bets for the Super Bowl. If he is going to contend for MVP, he has to hit the over.
Burrow Passing Yards Under
On the other side, I don’t believe Joe Burrow will hit his over, which is set at 274.5. Unlike Stafford, he has only thrown for more than that in one of his three playoff games.
I don’t think the Bengals can get in a scoring match with the Rams. If they want to win, they are going to have to create turnovers and get good field position.
Burrow throws for 250 or 260 but doesn’t hit the over.
Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards Over
This is the stage that Odell Beckham Jr. has been waiting for, and I think he delivers. His over/under for receiving yards is set at 62.8.
He’s going to be wanting the ball, and Stafford will be looking for opportunities to go his way. I think he gets at least six or seven receptions and gets close to 100 yards receiving. Might even add in a touchdown.
Kupp First Touchdown Scorer
Cooper Kupp has the best odds to be the first touchdown scorer, but he is going to be the main target for Stafford. With odds at +400, I think there is still great value.
Last time out against the 49ers, he had 142 yards and two touchdowns. This is a guy that will be going for the all-time record for receptions in a Super Bowl.
First Scoring Play LA Field Goal
Love the value of this bet. It has the third-best odds, behind both teams scoring a touchdown.
First off, I like the Rams to get the first score. And it’s highly likely that the game gets started with a lot of nerves. Matt Gay comes out and drills a field goal to get the scoring started. Odds are at +400.
Akers Rushing Yards Under
Cam Akers hasn’t even been back from injury for too long. In his last game against the 49ers, he only rushed for 48 yards.
This bet could end up in trouble if the Rams decide to dominate. If they get an early lead, you are going to see them run the ball a lot more. But this offense was built around passing.
As long as the game stays remotely close, I don’t see Akers hitting his over of 64.5.
Gay Kicking Points Over
Caesars is starting to see a lot more wagers on special teams and kickers. Both guys have done well in the postseason.
The over/under for Gay and Eric McPherson is set at 7.5. I don’t think either bet is terrible, but I’m rising with Gay to reach that point. Touchdowns won’t be enough to get them there. Just two field goals and the Rams will be kicking at least two extra points.
Game Points Under
Everyone wants to bet on the over. I get it, it’s fun to cheer for. But the goal is to win, and I don’t think this game is going to be very high-scoring.
The Bengals are going to have to manage the LA pass rush, and I don’t know if they are going to be able to do it. I think the Rams only need 23 or so points to win the game. Cincy won’t pass the 20 mark.
Caesars has the total set at 48.5.
Stafford Wins MVP
If the Rams win, I think the MVP will be between three players. Stafford, Kupp, and Aaron Donald. If the Rams defense controls the game and holds Cincinnati to minimal points, Donald has a shot. He will have to have multiple sacks.
But it’s hard to give it to a defensive player. The only risk to Stafford winning the MVP is finding Kupp for multiple touchdowns and over 100 yards. However, I think Beckham Jr. gets the ball enough to offset that.
Stafford has had a long wait, having many great years in Detroit. He has the best odds at +120, but I still think it’s a good bet to make.
Rams Win and Cover
In the end, the Bengals won’t be able to handle the Rams’ defense. The Rams will win the game and cover the 3.5 points spread.
The Rams just recently moved to LA, and they get a Super Bowl in their own stadium.