Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills – Picks & Predictions

Table of Contents

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills – Picks & Predictions

Author: Erik Gibbs | Publish Date: January 11, 2024 | Last Updated: January 11, 2024

The NFL Playoffs get underway this weekend with six games on the schedule, including the AFC matchup between the Buffalo Bills (11-6) and Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) on Sunday afternoon from Highmark Stadium.

Odds are live across NFL betting apps with a compelling mix of spreads, totals, props and more. new customers can also grab their fair share of NFL betting bonuses.

Head-To-Head: Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo

Buffalo reached the playoffs after winning the final five games of the regular season to capture the AFC East title over the slumping Miami Dolphins, whom they defeated 21-14 on the road on Monday night.

Pittsburgh got off to a 7-4 start but suffered three straight defeats to nearly put them out of playoff contention. However, after backup quarterback Mason Rudolph took over after Kenny Pickett was injured, Pittsburgh ran off three straight wins. They also got help from the Tennessee Titans, who knocked off the Jacksonville Jaguars in the season finale to snatch the final AFC playoff spot.

Including the playoffs, the Bills and Steelers have met 29 times, with Pittsburgh holding a 17-12 advantage in the series. They last met in the postseason in 2005, with the Steelers taking a 29-24 win on the road. Buffalo won their last regular season matchup in 2022 by a 38-3 score.

How to Bet on Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo

NFL fans can wager on their favorite playoff matchups, including Sunday’s Wild Card game between Buffalo and Pittsburgh, at the various legal online sportsbooks throughout the US. Users will find competitive odds at all the leading providers, allowing them to look around for the best value for their money. New customers can also earn sign-up bonuses and participate in ongoing sportsbook promos to boost profits and earn extra funds to wager with.

Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo Odds

The Bills are listed as 10-point favorites to defend their home field in the first round of the playoffs vs. the Steelers. The moneyline odds have Buffalo at -560 odds, while a bet on Pittsburgh to pull off the upset pays an attractive +420 odds. The over/under for this contest is 36.5 points, with even-money odds paid on both sides of the line.

Betting Tips for Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo

The Steelers are 11-4 versus Buffalo in their last 15 meetings, and the total has gone over in four of their previous five games. However, they haven’t had much recent success against the AFC East, with a 0-5 record in the last five games.

The Bills are 3-7 against the spread in their previous ten games as the favorite, and the total has gone under in four of their last five home games against the Steelers and six of their previous seven games at Highmark Stadium.   

Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo Predictions

Pickett is now healthy after his ankle injury, but Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin has announced that Rudolph will make his fourth straight start on Sunday against the Bills. He has played well in directing the offense and has protected the ball, with 716 passing yards, a 75% completion rate, three touchdowns, and no interceptions in his three games. However, they’ll be without NFL sack leader TJ Watt, who sprained his knee last week against Baltimore.     

Buffalo is on a roll after their worst season streak when they went 1-4. Since their loss at the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 12, the Bills have five straight wins, including against the Kansas City Chiefs on the road and a convincing 31-10 win over the Dallas Cowboys the following week. 

Buffalo is tough to beat at home, where they’re 7-2 on the season and should control the line of scrimmage against Pittsburgh’s banged-up defense to claim a decisive win.

Prediction: Buffalo Bills -10

Erik Gibbs

Erik is a dynamic and seasoned journalist with a passion for all things sports and sports betting. With a career spanning over two decades, he has become a prominent figure in the world of sports journalism, admired for his insightful analysis and engaging storytelling.