NCAAF Oklahoma vs Texas – Picks & Predictions

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NCAAF Oklahoma vs Texas – Picks & Predictions

Author: Erik Gibbs | Publish Date: October 4, 2023 | Last Updated: October 5, 2023

One of the most heated rivalries in sports is set to resume at the Cotton Bowl this weekend. It features two ranked, undefeated border rivals, with No. 12 Oklahoma facing off against No. 3 Texas in college football's Week 5 action on Saturday.

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Odds for the Big 12 clash are available on all betting apps featuring a mix of spreads, moneylines, totals props, and sports betting promos.

  • Game Time: Saturday, October 7, 11 AM
  •  Location: Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX

Head-to-Head: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns

Texas has secured two wins against ranked opponents this season, defeating Kansas last week and still riding the momentum from their significant victory over Alabama in Week 2.

The Longhorns are averaging 478.4 yards per game and currently hold a 5-0 record, a feat they haven't achieved since 2009, the year they last competed for the national championship.

Oklahoma, on the other hand, has made a strong recovery in Brent Venables' second season as head coach, averaging over 510 yards of offense per game.

This impressive performance has been fueled by the expert play of quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who boasts a 75 percent completion rate along with 15 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions.

Gabriel is leading a determined Sooner team that is eager to seek revenge against the Longhorns.

Last season, Texas secured a convincing 49-0 victory at the Texas State Fair, making this matchup even more significant for Oklahoma.

How to Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns

When it comes to betting on NCAAF games, all bettors need to develop their skills and dive deep into the process. Regardless of your level of expertise, certain crucial steps should be taken into consideration before placing your first wager.

After setting up your account on a top sportsbook betting app, it's imperative to engage in odds shopping. This involves comparing odds across various sportsbooks to maximize your potential winnings, especially when dealing with unique markets such as Heisman odds.

Another important factor to keep in mind is staying updated on betting trends, as these trends can significantly influence odds fluctuations. When a large number of bettors are favoring one side, odds may shift accordingly.

Additionally, it's crucial to recognize the significance of rivalries in college football. These matchups often defy team records due to the intense regional pride associated with them, which can have a substantial impact on odds. Therefore, it's essential to monitor these rivalries closely.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns Odds

There is no question that the Sooners versus Longhorns game stands out as the best for NCAAF Week 6.

Despite Texas being recognized as one of the most offensively talented teams in the nation, their performance in several key metrics this season hasn't been particularly impressive. They currently rank outside the top 25 in Success Rate, EPA/Play and Finishing Drives.

Still, that hasn’t prevented the Longhorns from now leading as the favorites for their matchup against Oklahoma at a -258 moneyline. That sets Oklahoma as the underdog at a +210 moneyline.

For the game, the over 60.5 points is now sitting at -110. The Longhorns are also set to cover the spread at -6.5 points.

Betting Tips for Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns

In last year's matchup, the Longhorns secured a dominant 49-0 victory, marking the first crushing defeat for either side in the series since 2004. This was also the most significant point differential, 49 points, since 2003.

Texas managed to score in every quarter and outperformed Oklahoma with 585 yards compared to 195. This win put an end to the Longhorns' four-game losing streak in the series.

Here are some trends to look at:

  • Texas holds a 3-2 ATS record.
  • Oklahoma boasts a perfect 5-0 record against the spread (ATS) this season.
  • Texas has seen the total points stay under the set line in four out of five games.
  • In all four games where Texas was the favorite, the total points stayed under the set line.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns Predictions

While some models might be pointing at Oklahoma with an almost unstoppable drive, the Longhorns are looking stronger than in previous seasons.

Texas has demonstrated exceptional defensive prowess, excelling in both pass and run defense.

The Longhorns are now in fourth position in Success Rate Allowed and in an impressive overall 12 in EPA/Play Allowed. What's particularly noteworthy is Texas’ ability to protect its own territory, ranking seventh in Finishing Drives Allowed.

 The Longhorns have everything they need to walk away victorious from the Cotton Bowl.

Prediction: Texas -6.5

Erik Gibbs

Erik is a dynamic and seasoned journalist with a passion for all things sports and sports betting. With a career spanning over two decades, he has become a prominent figure in the world of sports journalism, admired for his insightful analysis and engaging storytelling.