New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos – Picks and Predictions

Table of Contents

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos – Picks and Predictions

Author: Andy Hammel | Publish Date: December 21, 2023 | Last Updated: December 21, 2023

Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season is upon us, bringing a Sunday that closes with the disappointing New England Patriots (3-11) visiting the still-in-the-hunt Denver Broncos (7-7). Betting markets for the game will be available at all online sportsbooks, including money lines, spreads, totals, props, and NFL betting promos.

$1000 First Bet on Caesars

JULIUS1000 Copied!

Play Now


Head-to-Head: New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

Few teams in the National Football League are entering this week colder than the Patriots. Their offense ranks at the bottom of the league in scoring, averaging 13.3 points per game on the season – and only 12.7 through their last three games. The team has covered the spread in consecutive weeks, with an outright win over a suspect Pittsburgh Steelers team preceding a 17-27 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week, but those games followed a streak of three losses where the Patriots’ offense scored 6, 7, and 0 points.

The Broncos have been much hotter over the course of the season, but a 17-42 embarrassment at the hands of the Detroit Lions last Saturday poured cold water on their burgeoning hype train. That loss aside, the Broncos have won six of their last eight games and all four of their most recent games at home. For Christmas, the schedule is giving the Broncos their first home game since November.

These teams last met in 2020, when the Broncos traveled to New England to beat the Patriots 18-12. The four meetings preceding that, from 2015 through 2017, all happened in Denver. The last time the Broncos beat the Patriots at home was at the end of the 2015 season, when Peyton Manning completed two touchdown passes to Owen Daniels to win the AFC Championship.

How to Bet on New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

Lines for the Patriots and Broncos will be available at sportsbooks across America. Make sure to check your available options in order to find the best odds for the bets you want to make.

Additionally, be sure to check the injury report before finalizing any bets. Player availability is as big of a variable as there is in NFL games, and the report is a vital resource for fans looking for up-to-date information on each team’s health.

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos Odds

  • Money Line: New England Patriots +240, Denver Broncos -295
  • Spread: Denver Broncos -6.5
  • Total: o/u 34.5

Betting Tips for New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

  • The Patriots have only hit the 1H moneyline in 4 of their last 20 games.
  • The Broncos have hit the 1H money line in 7 of their last 9 home games.
  • The Broncos are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
  • The Under is 9-4 in the Patriots’ last 13 games.
  • The Under is 7-2 in the Broncos’ last 9 games.

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos Predictions

The Patriots have pulled out better results over the past two weeks than they did through the bulk of November, proving they can keep games within one score even if their opponent scores more than once. That doesn’t mean they’ll beat a Broncos team with better tape in their recent history and a more urgent need to win, but don’t be surprised if they cover the spread and hit the over for a third straight week.

Still, the Broncos were victimized last week by a Detroit Lions team that needed the kind of game they had – one where they reasserted themselves, emphatically, as a playoff team with the ability to overwhelm lesser competition. If the Broncos have that gear in them, it wouldn’t be surprising to see them get right by steamrolling the Patriots.

Prediction: Denver Broncos -6.5

Andy Hammel

Andy is our resident NFL expert, but his knowledge extends to all corners of the sports betting industry. Andy is always tracking betting trends and keeping you up to date on all the relevant news in your home state.