Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers – Picks & Predictions

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Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers – Picks & Predictions

Author: Andy Hammel | Publish Date: February 7, 2024 | Last Updated: February 7, 2024

The AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs (14-6) and NFC Champion San Francisco 49ers (14-5) will meet on Sunday in Super Bowl LVIII – a rematch of Super Bowl LV and the ultimate game of the 2023 NFL season.

Betting markets for the game will be available at all NFL betting sites, including moneylines, spreads, totals, the usual props and parlay options, and a wide range of novelty props to along with fantastic NFL betting promos.

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Head-to-Head: Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers enter the Super Bowl on the heels of one of the best regular season and playoff runs they could’ve asked for. Their offense paced the league in EPA per play and DVOA, ranked second in the league with 396.9 yards per game and scored a third-highest 28.9 points per game. They only won their two playoff games to advance to the Super Bowl by 3 points each, but they’re 9-2 in their last 11 games overall. The other seven of the 49ers’ wins during that stretch came by at least 12 points.

The Chiefs haven’t blitzed through the playoffs either, beating the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens in their last two games by a combined 10 points. Regardless, the Chiefs earned their Super Bowl berth with the strength of their defense – a surprising twist from the variations of this team that reached the big game in 2020 and 2021. The unit finished the 2023 season ranked sixth in defensive EPA per play and seventh in DVOA, allowing fewer yards (294.7) and points (16.8) while racking up more sacks (3.1) per game than every team but the Ravens.

These teams have met once since last facing off on the Super Bowl LV stage in 2020 – in a 2022 regular season game that ended in a 44-23 Chiefs victory at Levi’s Stadium. The Chiefs have won their last three meetings with the 49ers dating back to 2018 and five of their last six dating back to 2006.

How to Bet on Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Betting markets for the 49ers and Chiefs – and various other aspects of the Super Bowl that may or may not have much to do with either team – will be available at all online sportsbooks.

Make sure to browse your available betting operators to find the best odds for the bets you want to make, as well as any unique props or sportsbook promotional offers geared towards the game.

Additionally, make sure to check the injury report so you have up-to-date information about player availability before placing any bets. Allegiant Stadium is an indoor venue in Las Vegas and weather doesn’t figure to be a key variable, but player health remains a big factor in the outcome of NFL games.

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Odds

  • Money Line: Kansas City Chiefs +110, San Francisco 49ers -130
  • Spread: San Francisco 49ers -2.5
  • Total: o/u 47.5

Betting Tips for Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

  • The 49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
  • The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The Chiefs are 4-0 in games they entered as underdogs ATS in the 2023 season.
  • The 3Q Game Total Over has hit in 9 of the 49ers’ last 11 games.
  • The 4Q Game Total Under has hit in 18 of the Chiefs’ last 20 games.
  • The Under is 5-1 in the Chiefs’ last 6 games.

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions

The 49ers have enough of an advantage on paper to be worth their designation as the favorite, but that was just as true for the Chiefs’ last two opponents in the playoffs. Don’t be overly confident in your expectations for this game when betting on it, whatever they are. The 49ers could win this game without covering the spread and maintain both teams’ recent trends ATS, but that’s a tight needle to thread.

If both teams show up and their execution on the field resembles their best form from throughout the 2023 season, the 49ers are the better team and should win. But that’s a monumental ‘if’.

Prediction: San Francisco 49ers -2

Andy Hammel

Andy is our resident NFL expert, but his knowledge extends to all corners of the sports betting industry. Andy is always tracking betting trends and keeping you up to date on all the relevant news in your home state.