Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers – Picks and Predictions

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers – Picks and Predictions

Author: Andy Hammel | Publish Date: December 1, 2023 | Last Updated: December 1, 2023

Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season will bring us a Sunday Night Football matchup between the Green Bay Packers (5-6) and visiting Kansas City Chiefs (8-3). Markets for the game will be available on all betting apps, including moneylines, spreads, totals, and a range of props and sportsbook promos to choose from.

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Head-to-Head: Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers

The Chiefs and Packers last played in the 2021 regular season, in an underwhelming 13-7 affair that ultimately went the Chiefs’ way. Patrick Mahomes completed 20 of 37 passes for only 166 yards, the lowest single-game number Mahomes has posted to this point in his career. Jordan Love – starting at quarterback for Aaron Rodgers, who’d tested positive for COVID-19 – completed 19 of 34 passes to give the Packers 190 yards. The last time the Chiefs and Packers met in Lambeau was in 2015, when the Packers won 38-28.

While the Chiefs have a significantly better record over the season, they’ve dropped two of their last four games to the Denver Broncos and Philadelphia Eagles. They’re coming off a 31-17 road win over the Las Vegas Raiders that they opened by falling into a 0-14 hole. Offensively, the Chiefs rank 8th in yards per game (364.9) on the season but only 19th (321.0) through their last three games.

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It’s been a different story for the Packers, who are 3-1 through their last four games and surprised a national audience on Thanksgiving with their 29-22 win over the Detroit Lions. Their offense ranks 18th in the league with 324.8 yards per game for the season but averages a 7th-best 391.0 yards through their last three games. Jordan Love has completed five passing touchdowns against zero interceptions through the last two games, including two to second-year receiver Christian Watson.

Defensively, however, the Chiefs still figure to have a significant edge. They’ve allowed only 290.0 yards and 16.5 points per game through their last three – the fourth and third-best marks, respectively. The Packers have allowed 394.0 points per game (27th) through their last three by comparison, although their 21.7 points allowed through that stretch (14th) is far closer to the mean.

How to Bet on Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers

Online sportsbooks across the country will have lines on the Chiefs and Packers for Sunday Night Football. Check your available options to find the best odds, as well as any unique props or promotions.

Additionally, keep up with the injury report ahead of kickoff. There are few greater variables in an NFL game than player availability, and the injury report is a vital resource for keeping up with the health of each team’s roster ahead of a game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers Odds

  • Money Line: Kansas City Chiefs -290, Green Bay Packers +235
  • Spread: KC -6.5
  • Total: o/u 42.5

Betting Tips for Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers

  • The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS through their last ten games.
  • The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Chiefs.
  • The Under is 4-1 in the Packers’ five home games this season.
  • The Under is 5-2 through the Packers’ last 7 games.
  • The Under is 6-1 through the Chiefs’ last 7 games.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers Predictions

There’s only so much confidence with which one can suggest betting against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, but 6.5 is a generous spread with how both of these teams have been playing. The Chiefs have several wins by multiple-score margins on their record this season in spite of their – by their standards – underwhelming offense, but the Packers have been within a score of winning or losing most of their games. Of the Packers’ seven games thus far against opponents outside the NFC North, six have been decided by 7 or fewer points.

There’s a lot of reason to like the Under in this one, and the fewer points are scored, the easier it’ll be for the Packers to keep this one within a touchdown. It’ll be newsworthy if the Chiefs pull out a win by a more decisive margin.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers +6.5

Andy Hammel

Andy is our resident NFL expert, but his knowledge extends to all corners of the sports betting industry. Andy is always tracking betting trends and keeping you up to date on all the relevant news in your home state.