Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills – Picks & Predictions

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills – Picks & Predictions

Author: Erik Gibbs | Publish Date: January 19, 2024 | Last Updated: January 19, 2024

The NFL Playoffs continue this weekend with the Divisional Round, as the Kansas City Chiefs (12-6) make a rare playoff road trip to face the Buffalo Bills (12-6).

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Head-To-Head: Kansas City vs. Buffalo

The Chiefs won two straight games to close the regular season and were victorious in their Wild Card matchup against the Miami Dolphins 26-7. Patrick Mahomes has a Super Bowl ring and many successful playoff appearances, but will play his first postseason game on the road against Buffalo.  

The Bills extended their win streak to six games after their 31-17 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Wild Card Round. The Chiefs were the first of those six teams, as Buffalo won their December 10 matchup at Arrowhead 20-17. They’re slight favorites to beat Kansas City at home on Sunday night as they seek their first Super Bowl title.

The Chiefs and Bills have faced each other 54 times in their history, with Buffalo holding a 29-24-1 advantage. The Bills have won the last two games, but Kansas City won their last playoff matchup 42-36 in overtime in the 2022 Divisional Round. The teams have split their two games played for the AFC Championship, with the Chiefs advancing to the Super Bowl in 2021.

How to Bet on Kansas City vs. Buffalo

NFL fans have many options for wagering on this weekend’s AFC Divisional Playoff game between the Chiefs and Bills at all legal online sportsbooks in the country. The leading betting sites offer customers attractive betting promos, and users can participate in various weekly promotions and contests for a chance to add extra funds to their bankroll.    

Kansas City vs. Buffalo Odds

The Bills are 2.5-point favorites at home in their Divisional Round clash with the Chiefs, with moneyline odds of -144. A wager on Kansas City to win the game pays +122 odds, and the odds of them covering the spread are at +100. The over/under for the game is 48.5.


Betting Tips for Kansas City vs. Buffalo

The total has gone under in five of the Chiefs' previous six games, and they’re 10-2 in their last 12 road games. They also have a 16-3 record in their previous 19 games against AFC opponents.

The Bills are 6-1 at home in the last seven games, and the total has gone under in five of the previous six games against the Chiefs. The Bills are undefeated against the AFC in their last five games.

Kansas City vs. Buffalo Predictions

Two of the NFL’s top quarterbacks will headline one of the most anticipated matchups of the playoffs. However, defense will be the key to winning this game. 

Kansas City’s defense is the best it’s been since Steve Spagnulo took over as coordinator five years ago, allowing 17.3 points per game and anchored by Pro Bowl defensive tackle Chris Jones. The Chiefs rank in the top three in yards allowed per game and held the Dolphins to 264 yards last week.

Buffalo’s offense is one of the best in the league, ranking in the top five in points with 28.5 per game. They’ve also led the NFL in rushing attempts over the past seven weeks. 

The Bills’ defense held opponents to under 22 points during their current winning streak and less than 24 points at home, where they were 7-2 this season. Mistakes will likely decide this game, and if the Bills can protect the ball, they should come away with a close victory at home and cover the number.

Prediction: Buffalo Bills -2.5

Erik Gibbs

Erik is a dynamic and seasoned journalist with a passion for all things sports and sports betting. With a career spanning over two decades, he has become a prominent figure in the world of sports journalism, admired for his insightful analysis and engaging storytelling.