Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens – Picks & Predictions

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens – Picks & Predictions

Author: Erik Gibbs | Publish Date: January 26, 2024 | Last Updated: January 26, 2024

The Kansas City Chiefs (13-6) will play in their sixth straight AFC Championship game on Sunday. However, this time, they’ll play for the title on the road against the Baltimore Ravens (14-4) in what is shaping up to be an interesting battle of titans.

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Head-To-Head: Kansas City vs. Baltimore

The Chiefs, the AFC West champions, started the season 6-1 and didn’t have consecutive wins for the next eight games before closing with victories over the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Chargers. Last Sunday, they beat the Buffalo Bills 27-24 in the AFC Divisional playoffs.    

On their way to the AFC North title, the Ravens won 10 of the last 12 games of the regular season. The number-one seed in the AFC playoffs pulled off a convincing 34-10 win over the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round, as Lamar Jackson rushed for over 100 yards to lead the offense for the second time this season.

The Chiefs and Ravens have played each other just 12 times in their history, with Kansas City leading the series 7-5. Their only playoff meeting was in the 2010 AFC Wild Card game, where Baltimore took a 30-7 victory and Kansas City’s pride.

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Kansas City vs. Baltimore Odds

Baltimore is -3.5 on the spread in this home matchup against Kansas City, with moneyline odds for the Ravens at -186. A wager on the Chiefs to take the win is currently at +156 odds (although shifts are expected), and the game total is at 44.5 points.

Betting Tips for Kansas City vs. Baltimore

The Chiefs are 11-2 in their previous 13 road games and are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games against the Ravens. They’re also 17-3 in the previous 20 games against AFC opponents.

Baltimore is undefeated in its last five matchups against the AFC West and has covered the spread in four of their previous five games. The total has gone over four of the last five times these teams have met.

Kansas City vs. Baltimore Predictions

The offensive struggles by the Chiefs in the regular season were silenced in the playoffs, as the offense came alive in their victories over the Miami Dolphins and the Bills. Kansas City has been underdogs this postseason for some reason, led by the running game of Isiah Pacheco, who has 186 yards in two postseason games. The Chiefs' defense must control the line of scrimmage and limit the Ravens’ rushing attack if they hope to get the win on Sunday.   

Baltimore is trying to advance to the Super Bowl as the top seed in the AFC for the first time since collapsing in the 2020 playoffs when the Bills sent them home in the Divisional Round, 17-3.

The Ravens have played like the best team in the league all season. Most experts agree that it will take an exceptional game from Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense to beat Baltimore at M&T Bank Stadium. Look for Baltimore to gut out a win and cover here.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -3.5

Erik Gibbs

Erik is a dynamic and seasoned journalist with a passion for all things sports and sports betting. With a career spanning over two decades, he has become a prominent figure in the world of sports journalism, admired for his insightful analysis and engaging storytelling.