Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts – Picks & Predictions

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Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts – Picks & Predictions

Author: Erik Gibbs | Publish Date: January 2, 2024 | Last Updated: January 2, 2024

The Houston Texans (9-7) will clash with the Indianapolis Colts (9-7), with both teams seeking to win the AFC South title with a victory. The division-leading Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7) are currently in the driver’s seat and can clinch the division with a win on the road vs. the Tennessee Titans in their final game. However, a loss would give the title to the winner of this matchup from  Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 18.

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Head-To-Head: Houston vs. Indianapolis

The Texans completed their season sweep of the Titans with a 26-3 victory at home last weekend and are 6-3 in the previous nine games since their Week 8 loss to the Carolina Panthers. At the same time, Indy has won six of their last eight games after suffering a three-game losing streak that began in Week 6. The Colts took a 23-20 win at home against the Las Vegas Raiders this past Sunday.

The Texans and Colts have met 44 times in their history, with Indianapolis holding a 33-10-1 record. The teams have met just once in the playoffs, with the Colts winning 21-7 in the 2018 Wild Card Round. Indianapolis won their first matchup in Week 2 this season by a score of 31-20. 

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Houston vs. Indianapolis Odds

The Colts are 1.5-point favorites vs. the Texans at home and have -118  moneyline odds to win on Saturday. Taking the Texans to win outright currently pays +100 odds, and the game total for this matchup is at 47.5 points.

Betting Tips for Houston vs. Indianapolis

Houston is 8-7-1 against the spread this season and is 4-1 against the spread when underdogs by more than one point on the road. The Texans have averaged 17 points per game away from home this season while allowing 21 points to their opponents.

The Colts are 6-4 against the spread in their previous ten games as the favorite, where they posted a 7-3 record straight up. They’re also 6-4 against the spread in their last ten home games, where they posted a 5-5 record.

Houston vs. Indianapolis Predictions

The winner of this matchup will earn a playoff berth and a chance to win the AFC South title. For Houston, a win gets them into the playoffs, and a loss will send them home. They hope to continue building momentum after their 23-point win over the Titans last week and expect rookie QB C.J. Stroud to come through in this game as he approaches 4,000 passing yards for the season.

The Colts can get into the playoffs with a win and still have a chance to make it with a loss, which is where things get complicated. This will undoubtedly be a competitive game, as the teams look much different than when they faced off in Week 2. 

If the defense can repeat last week’s performance, limiting the Raiders to just 84 yards rushing and 5.8 yards per pass attempt, they have a great shot at taking this contest on their home field.

Prediction: Indianapolis Colts -1.5

Erik Gibbs

Erik is a dynamic and seasoned journalist with a passion for all things sports and sports betting. With a career spanning over two decades, he has become a prominent figure in the world of sports journalism, admired for his insightful analysis and engaging storytelling.