Georgia vs Florida State – Picks and Predictions

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Georgia vs Florida State – Picks and Predictions

Author: Andy Hammel | Publish Date: December 26, 2023 | Last Updated: December 28, 2023

The Capital One Orange Bowl this season brings us a meeting between two teams that narrowly missed out on the College Football Playoff, with longtime top seed Georgia (12-1) and undefeated ACC champion Florida State (13-0) set to meet in Miami. Betting markets for the game will be widely available across NCAAF betting apps, with money lines, spreads, totals, props, and parlay options to go along with some fantastic betting promos.

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Head-to-Head: Georgia vs Florida State

Florida State enters this game, notoriously, as the first Power 5 team to miss the College Football Playoff after an undefeated season. Part of that was ostensibly a season-ending injury to starting quarterback Jordan Travis, who didn’t play in the team’s last two wins against Florida and Louisville. Backup quarterback Tate Rodemaker spent the latter game sidelined due to concussion precautions and figures to start again in the Orange Bowl, but the Seminoles spent their last two games leaning hard into their ground game and defense regardless.

That’ll be a tough way to win against Georgia, who spend most of the 2023 season on a streak of consecutive wins dating back to the 2021 season. The Bulldogs’ offense ranks 8th in yards per game (482.8) and 9th in scoring (38.4), while their defense allows the tenth-fewest yards (295.2) and ninth-fewest points (16.6) per game. Quarterback Carson Beck – who started every game for the Bulldogs and finished the season with a 169.7 QB rating – has announced his intention to play in the game and return to Georgia in 2024.

The status of other draft-eligible stars for the Bulldogs, including tight end Brock Bowers, has yet to be clarified. Florida State players who have already opted out of the game include receivers Keon Coleman and Johnny Wilson, running back Trey Benson, tight end Jaheim Bell, edge defender Jared Verse, and defensive lineman Fabien Lovett.

How to Bet on Georgia vs Florida State

Betting markets for the Orange Bowl will be available across online sportsbooks. Make sure to browse your available options to find the best odds for the bets you want to make, as well as any unique promotions around the event.

Beyond that, make sure to check in on each team’s player availability before making any bets. Injuries are worth tracking when betting on any sport, but the college football postseason brings the unique problem of tracking star player opt-outs. 

Georgia vs Florida State Odds

  • Money Line: Georgia -720, Florida State +500
  • Spread: Georgia -14.5
  • Total: o/u 44.5

Betting Tips for Georgia vs Florida State

  • The Under is 3-0 in Georgia’s last 3 games.
  • The Under is 4-1 in Florida State’s last 5 games.
  • The 1H Game Total Over has hit in 9 of Georgia’s last 14 games.
  • The 1Q Game Total Over has hit in 5 of Georgia’s last 6 away games.

Georgia vs Florida State Predictions

Georgia has two losses on their record since the start of the 2021 season, and only one loss since the start of the 2020 season to a team other than Alabama. Whatever shot the Seminoles had of pulling out an upset in this game took a serious hit when several of their star players chose not to play, and it’ll only get worse if the Bulldogs’ star players currently in limbo decide to suit up. Nothing is certain, but the most likely outcome here is that the Seminoles’ remaining lineup looks overmatched on both sides of the ball against an overwhelming Georgia roster.

Prediction: Georgia -14.5

Andy Hammel

Andy is our resident NFL expert, but his knowledge extends to all corners of the sports betting industry. Andy is always tracking betting trends and keeping you up to date on all the relevant news in your home state.