Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints – Picks & Predictions

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Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints – Picks & Predictions

Author: Erik Gibbs | Publish Date: January 2, 2024 | Last Updated: January 2, 2024

The Atlanta Falcons (7-9) will visit the New Orleans Saints (8-8) in a Week 18 battle from the Caesars Superdome on Sunday. Atlanta is third in the NFC South and will have a chance to end the Saints’ playoff aspirations with a victory on the road. 

A win combined with an unlikely Tampa Bay Buccaneers loss to the Carolina Panthers would give them the division title. They can also pick up the final NFC playoff spot with a win and a lot of help.

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Head-To-Head: Atlanta vs. New Orleans

The Falcons had high playoff hopes before they were beaten by the Chicago Bears 37-17 on Sunday. It’s rare for a team to have a better chance of winning the division than qualifying for a wild-card berth, which is precisely the situation they’re in leading up to Week 18. Atlanta can knock the Saints out of the playoffs and still win the NFC South with a victory and a Buccaneers loss.

The Falcons and Saints have been competitive in their 109 meetings, with Atlanta holding a 55-54 edge. New Orleans has won six of the previous eight games, with the Falcons ending a three-game losing streak to beat the Saints 24-15 as one-point underdogs in their first matchup in November.

How to Bet on Atlanta vs. New Orleans

The Week 18 NFC South clash between the Falcons and Saints gives fans a chance to make their picks at any of the various online sportsbooks in the country. Users can find competitive odds on all NFL betting markets and take advantage of many generous welcome bonuses and ongoing promotions when signing up for a new account.  

Atlanta vs. New Orleans Odds

The Saints are -3 favorites at home against the Falcons, with the moneyline on a New Orleans win paying -164 odds. A bet on an Atlanta win is currently at +138 odds, and the over/under for the game is 42 points.

Betting Tips for Atlanta vs. New Orleans

The Falcons are 4-11 vs. the spread in their last 15 games and have a 2-12 record in their previous 14 road games. They’ve also beaten the spread in four of the last five games against the Saints, and the total has gone under in four of their previous six contests.    

The Saints are 3-7 against the spread in the last ten games against NFC opponents, and the total has gone under in seven of their previous nine home games. They’re 4-2 in their last six games playing as the favorite and are 7-3 in their previous ten Sunday home games.

Atlanta vs. New Orleans Predictions

Atlanta overcame two interceptions by Desmond Ritter to end a three-game losing streak in their victory over the Saints the last time they met. However, the Falcons have lost three of the previous four contests and are -6 in turnover ratio during that stretch. Chances are they won’t keep the Saints from reaching the end zone like in their earlier matchup, where New Orleans gained 444 yards with no touchdowns.

The Saints would still have a slight chance of getting the final wild-card spot if both they and the Bucs win with a lot of help. However, a loss would automatically end their season, regardless of what else happens. 

The Saints have won three of their last four games and have prevailed in their previous two games at home by an average of 20 points. They should also be able to solve an Atlanta defense that held them to just five field goals in their last meeting.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints -3

Erik Gibbs

Erik is a dynamic and seasoned journalist with a passion for all things sports and sports betting. With a career spanning over two decades, he has become a prominent figure in the world of sports journalism, admired for his insightful analysis and engaging storytelling.