MLB Betting Systems – Tip to Stay Profitable

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MLB Betting Systems – Tip to Stay Profitable

Author: Devin Erickson-Sheehy | Last Updated: February 6, 2024

Betting on Major League Baseball can take on many different forms, with plenty of different odds offered on every game throughout the season.

MLB betting systems are different strategies to stay profitable over the long haul. It's crucial to remember external factors with any betting system, including, teams, pitchers, key injuries, and weather.

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MLB System Betting

All the best sports betting apps offer odds on every MLB game. Some of the most popular MLB betting systems include:

  • Underdog betting system: This system involves betting on underdogs, aka teams that are not favored to win. Although MLB betting lines are often much tighter than other leagues because upsets are so common, you can still find some excellent value on underdogs on a nightly basis.

  • Run line betting system: This system involves betting on a team to win by a certain number of runs. The run line is usually set at 1.5 runs, so you would bet on a team to win by 2 runs or more or lose by 1 run or fewer. Run line betting can either be a way to maximize your winnings (-1.5) or make a safer bet (+1.5) where even if your team loses, you can still win your bet.

  • Over/under betting system: This system involves betting on whether the total number of runs scored in a game will be over or under a specific number. The over/under is usually set between 7-9 runs (i.e. 8.5). Over/under betting is a good alternative if you don't see any betting value on either side.

MLB Betting Tips

No matter which MLB betting system you choose, it's essential to do your own research and only bet on games that you feel you have a good read on. Some of the best betting sites over tools to help, but there are plenty of outside resources you can use as well.

You should also be prepared to lose some bets, as no betting system is flawless. The goal is instead to be profitable long term.

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Here are some additional tips for MLB betting:

  • Avoid betting on big favorites: Big favorites are more likely to win, but they also offer lower odds and relatively small payouts. Due to the prevalence of upsets in baseball backing big favorites tends to be less profitable long term.

  • Bet against the public: The public is often reactionary when betting on baseball backing popular teams or high-profile pitchers. If you see that a large percentage of the public is betting on a particular team, the betting line may be skewed and there might be more betting value on the other side.

  • Focus on divisional underdogs: Divisional games often provide potential betting value. Because the teams know each other so well, the games are usually close and upsets are more common. By backing a divisional underdog on the moneyline at plus odds or at +1.5 on the run line, you can maximize your chance of winning.

  • Check the weather: The weather can have a big impact on baseball games. Wind direction plays a crucial role in a number of ballparks, most notably Wrigley Field in Chicago. It's especially important to check the weather when betting on over/under totals, as this can directly correlate to an increase or decrease in offensive production.

  • Know the umpires: Umpires can also have a big impact on baseball games, especially regarding balls/strikes. If you know which umpire is behind the plate and how they tend to call a game (pitcher-friendly or hitter-friendly), you can use this to your advantage.

By following these tips, you can determine which MLB betting system works best for you and increase your chances of winning.

Devin Erickson-Sheehy

Devin is a diehard New York sports fan and betting expert. He supplies a wealth of knowledge about everything online gambling, providing readers with up-to-date tracking on the latest trends, industry news, and betting offers.