Mike Davis (-175) vs. Mason Jones (+150) – Odds by US bookies. Prediction: Jones via submission (+1000)
Arguably the closest we get to a 50-50 bout on paper, welterweights Mike Davis and Mason Jones look almost identical in all physical parameters, but it’s the latter who looks the more rounded talent.
bet365 NJ has Davis (8-2) down as the -175 moneyline favorite, but undefeated Jones (10-0) looks capable of surprising from his +150 billing in his UFC debut.
What the Welshman lacks in promotion experience, he makes up for in balance across the board, collecting four knockout wins to date, three submissions, and three victories via decision. Jones left Cage Warriors as a dual-division champion at lightweight and welterweight, almost an ‘upgrade’ on Conor McGregor’s achievement of holding the featherweight and lightweight belts simultaneously.
“The Dragon” also holds an edge over Davis in fight readiness having fought twice in 2020, while Wednesday’s opponent hasn’t entered the cage since he knocked out Thomas Gifford in October 2019.
Jones will feel some duty protecting the reputations of his fellow British exports when he makes his UFC debut, all the more due to the fact he’s considered the underdog despite holding two belts until recently.
As a result, Jones’ +275 price to win by decision looks a steal, and even more so his +1000 odds to clinch a submission win. It’s foreseeable the UFC newcomer and his team will identify the ground game as his best route to victory against a foe who has seven knockout wins, with Davis tapping against Gilbert Burns when he last lost in April 2019.