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How do 7 Seeds do in the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament

Author: Andy Hammel | Last Updated: February 6, 2024

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The NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament comprises 64 teams, with each quarter of the bracket seeded from 1 to 16. The tournament is known for its unpredictable outcomes, with early-round upsets being as memorable as the champions.

NCAA Tournament 7 seeds enter the March Madness bracket as potential dark horses. However, it's not surprising to see them bow out in the opening round.

Here's a closer look at how 7 seeds have performed in the Tournament relative to the top half of the bracket.

Seed NCAAM TitlesOverall Percentage
1 24 65%
2 5 14%
3 4 11%
4 1 3%
5 0 0%
6 1 3%
7 1 3%
8 1 3%

The NCAA Tournament bracket was expanded to 64 teams in 1985. It wasn’t until 2014 that the Connecticut Huskies became the first team to enter the tournament as a 7 seed and win a championship. It is rare to see a deep run from this seed as only two other 7 seeds have made it as far as the Final Four, and both failed to advance to the Finals.

Since 1985, NCAA Tournament 7 seeds have a 90-58 record against 10 seeds in the opening round (a little over 60%). Only two tournaments – 1993 and 2007 – saw all four 7 seeds advance past the first round, while the 1999 tournament remains the only instance where all four 7 seeds were swept.

Teams that earn 7 seeds do so on the strength of good regular season performances, but they generally have some glaring flaws leaving them vulnerable to an opening round upset.

Andy Hammel

Andy is our resident NFL expert, but his knowledge extends to all corners of the sports betting industry. Andy is always tracking betting trends and keeping you up to date on all the relevant news in your home state.