This past week in US politics the Republican campaign lost some footing in the potential re-election of President Donald Trump.
White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders announced she is stepping down from the Trump administration at the end of the month in a shocking twist after it had been over 90 days since she last daily press briefing.
The move is a reflection of an exasperating reality between the executive branch and the free press that has come to outline the Trump presidency.
With this uproar announcement, it is no wonder that the Democratic Party is now taking a leading voice with two outspoken candidates being widely hailed as potential running mates against the notorious current leader of the country.
Former Vice President Joe Biden is still thought of as the Democratic frontrunner to take the reigns on the 2020 primaries. Biden is currently leading the president by 10 percentage point just outside the margin of error as reported by a new Fox News Poll released this weekend.
The national poll reflected that Biden earned 49 percent support from registered voters compared to Trump’s 39 percent. Independent Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders is the only other Democratic candidate that would beat Trump outside the margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Bernie Sanders was the long-time favorite in the market before Biden officially announced his campaign. He has just this month dropped behind Pete Buttigieg in the race.
The standings right now reflect Buttigieg estimating a 41% vote by Democrats when a viewing a direct vote against Trump in the Fox News poll with Sanders beating Trump by 41% and Biden by 49%. The real tossing factor is candidate Elizabeth Warren, who is swinging back in the poles after a disastrous prior social media campaign.
Her momentum – and change in publicity campaign tactics – now has the polls showing a 43% lead over Trump if voting were to take place today.
For those betting, Elizabeth Warren is now as little as +500 to attain the Democratic ticket for the 2020 US Presidential Election. That is a tremendous change over prior indications.
She was a whopping +2800 outside at the end just in March. But things have certainly shifted for the veteran senator who has seen her chances of taking on Trump quadruple in the recent summer months.
In relative terms, those figures mean that oddsmakers have increased her chances from 3.5% to over 16%.
Joe Biden may still be the most talked about the candidate, but with the margin, shift be sure to keep Warren in your betting predictions. Favorite early front runners for Democratic party leaders do not always pan out, as was the dramatic showing when Hillary Clinton ran in the last election.
Warren may just be the biggest shock in political history and take the seat in the White House in 2020 if her momentum continues to slowly grow.
Photo by David Everett Strickler