The Miami Dolphins are on the verge of winning six straight NFL games for the first time since 2016, and all that stands in their way is a Denver Broncos team sorely lacking form ahead of Week 11.
Head coach Brian Flores can afford to dream of taking first place in the AFC East—something the Dolphins (6-3) haven’t achieved since 2008—and victory in Denver could move his side to the summit.
The Broncos (3-6) have defeated Miami in five of their 10 meetings at Mile High Stadium (one draw), but the present-day form books mean it’s the Dolphins who enter as -177 favorites on this occasion, per Betrivers for Colorado customers. The hosts are +145 underdogs as they look to level the Mile High record at five wins apiece, but a run of one win in four home outings this year doesn’t garner much confidence that they’ll be the ones to cease Miami’s momentum.
Denver quarterback Drew Lock threw four interceptions in defeat to the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10, meaning he’s now given up turnovers in each of his last five appearances.
Jori Epstein put into context just how that poor retention rate has hurt the Broncos this season:
After the Broncos' five turnovers yesterday—four Drew Lock INTs, one DaeSean Hamilton fumble—the Cowboys no longer lead the league in turnovers.— Jori Epstein (@JoriEpstein) November 16, 2020
Broncos – 21
Cowboys – 20
Eagles – 17
Niners – 17
Washington – 16
Miami Dolphins @ Denver Broncos Game Info
Date: Sunday, November 22
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Venue: Mile High Stadium, Denver, Colorado
TV Info: CBS
Dolphins @ Broncos Moneyline Odds & Prediction: Dolphins by 7
Miami Dolphins: -177
Denver Broncos: +145
Miami shot-caller Tua Tagovailoa has enjoyed a far more positive impact in his debut campaign and won three consecutive games as a starter without an interception in sight:
The Dolphins still rank among the worst passing teams in the NFL this season, their 2.054 receiving yards being the fifth-lowest total amassed by any franchise through Week 10. The key difference in their camp is that performances only seem to be getting better, and the offense as a whole is in great shape after scoring at least 23 points in each of their last eight games (average 28 points per game for the year).
Denver have prided themselves on defense if they were to pick a standout strength this season, but it hasn’t stopped them featuring in high-scoring encounters all the same. There have been at least 49 points scored in six of the Broncos’ nine matches this term, while the Dolphins have featured in games hitting that mark five times thus far in 2020.
Betrivers offers +190 odds that the Dolphins will win with 45 or more points scored in Colorado, a bet that would have won in each of their last three games.
Not extravagant enough? Bettors can get +250 odds on Miami winning by those means while also covering a 3.5-point handicap, which would have yielded returns in three of their six victories this season.