UFC Fight Night 184 Predictions: Curtis Blaydes Cuts a Path to Derrick Lewis Win. Betting Odds: Curtis Blaydes (-358) vs. Derrick Lewis (+275)
The next UFC heavyweight title fight may already be decided, but Curtis Blaydes can take a giant step towards becoming next in line if he defeats Derrick Lewis at UFC Fight Night 184 on Saturday (November 28).
No. 1 contender Francis Ngannou is expected to get his rematch opposite heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic, but Blaydes (14-2) is on course for his own run at the belt after winning his past four fights, the joint-longest run of his career.
“Razor” can set a new personal best streak with victory over “The Black Beast,” with Blaydes favored as a -358 favorite with Borgata NJ. Lewis (24-7) is on a tear of his own following three wins in a row, the most recent of which was a knockout win over Aleksei Oleinik in August.
The 35-year-old sent for Blaydes after that fight and said he intended to overcome the No. 2-ranked heavyweight and “punish him” on the ground:
UFC Fight Night 184 Info, Card Schedule & Free Bets
Date: Saturday, November 28
Venue: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
Prelims: 7 p.m. ET (12 a.m. BST)
Main Card: 10 p.m. ET (3 a.m. BST)
Prediction: Blaydes via KO/TKO
The Curtis Blaydes vs. Derrick Lewis fight on Nov 28 2020 will be the third UFC card of 2020 headlined by Blaydes, who combines tremendous wrestling ability with an ever-improving arsenal of weapons on the feet. It’s little surprise the frontrunner—six years Lewis’ junior—is tipped for success given he’s easily the more versatile talent, and Blaydes’ advantages in speed and stamina give him in a five-round scuffle.
MMA By The Numbers broke down the statistical records between the two ahead of Saturday’s showdown, where one substantial gorge between the pair lies in octagon control:
New Jersey-based customers can back Blaydes to win via KO or TKO with Borgata NJ, a wager he’s fulfilled in two of his last three fights. Lewis does boast a unanimous-decision win over Ngannou, the only man to have defeated Razor (on two occasions), but Blaydes’ more recent resumé looks the more impressive after big wins against Junior dos Santos (TKO) and Alexander Volkov (UD).
The odds look better for Blaydes the longer this fight runs, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him attack Lewis’ base with leg kicks early on to rock his foundations. The main-event underdog has some of the most devastating knockout potential in the heavyweight division, but Blaydes has previously shown great nous to avoid heavy hitters in the past (bar Ngannou).
Four of the Black Beast’s five UFC losses have come via KO/TKO (one submission defeat to Daniel Cormier), and Blaydes should have enough of an edge to eventually find his opening and stop Lewis standing up.