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2020 Copa Libertadores Final: Predictions, Odds and Prop Bet Picks for Palmeiras vs. Santos

Author: americangambler | Last Updated: January 26, 2021

Sao Paulo rivals will contest the 2020 Copa Libertadores on Saturday (Jan. 30) when Palmeiras and Santos will battle it out to be crowned champions at the Maracana.

2020 Copa Libertadores Info:

Date: Saturday, January 30 2021

Time: 4 p.m. ET/9 p.m. GMT

Venue: Maracana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

US Betting Odds & Promo: bet365, BetMGM

2020 Copa Libertadores Preview & Prediction

It marks just the third time that two Brazilian clubs have made it to the same Copa Libertadores decider, with very little to separate the pair as far as recent form goes. Palmeiras have snuck ahead as minor +115 favorites to lift South America’s greatest club title after 90 minutes, per William Hill sportsbook, but Santos could well pay out at +250 underdog odds.

Two of the last three encounters between these teams have ended on level terms, however, and with so much riding on the line, it’s the +220 draw odds that pique the most interest. The most recent of those matchups ended 2-2 on December 5, and a repeat of that result yields +1400.

Less than 100 kilometers separate the two nemeses from one of Brazil’s most famous soccer states, with tensions likely to be at a high for both outfits as they look to begin 2021 with silverware in tow.

It’s fitting that both Santos and Palmeiras each had to best Argentinian opposition in order to reach this stage. The Fish triumphed 3-0 over Boca Juniors on aggregate in their semi-final, saving all their goals for the home second leg after drawing in Buenos Aires:

Palmeiras performed better away from home against River Plate and all but sealed their place in the final with a 3-0 victory in their own visit to Argentina’s capital (before losing 2-0 at home in the return leg):

Both finalists have started leaking goals of late after keeping superior defensive records earlier in their campaigns, with the effects of a long, disrupted season perhaps taking its toll. 

As such, goals are to be expected at the Maracana, and a wager on Over 1.5 first-half goals (two or more) looks a tempting at a return of +240. Palmeiras have scored in seven of their last eight games against Brazilian opposition, scoring in the first half of six of those. A price of +1600 is available for either side to be in front at half-time but draw come the final whistle.

As for scorers, Palmeiras duo Luiz Adriano and Rony each have five Copa Libertadores goals to their name ahead of the final, as does Santos forward Kaio Jorge. 

Of that assortment, experienced Adriano is at the shortest odds to bag in the final, either as a +750 pick in a Palmeiras win (with both teams to score), or a riskier +2000 selection to score as part of a Santos triumph.

Prediction: Draw (+220), 2-2 (+1400) Palmeiras to win in extra time

Copa Libertadores Final Moneyline Odds

Palmeiras: +115

Draw: +220

Santos: +250

Odds via William Hill