UFC 16: Taila Santos vs. Montana De La Rosa Prediction

Odds: Taila Santos (-225) vs. Montana De La Rosa (+175)

Is Montana De la Rosa was hoping for a simpler fight at UFC Vegas 16 after losing two of her last three in the UFC’s flyweight division, 16-1 Taila Santos is not it. 

Aside from the fact Santos has lost once in 17 outings by the age of 27, she’s even more intimidating given she’s finished 10 of her career victories by knockout. De la Rosa—a +175 moneyline underdog with Sugarhouse —has been stopped by strikes only once in her career, but then it’s not often she’s come up against flyweights packing the same stand-up threat as Santos.

It also doesn’t work in De la Rosa’s favor (on paper) that this training camp was heavily disrupted due to the coronavirus, per reporter James Lynch:

It’s somewhat ironic that the only opponent who’s beaten Santos to date, Mara Romero Borella, is also the only foe De la Rosa has defeated in her last three bouts. However, that accounts for one quarter of a four-loss streak for Borella, who isn’t a major notch for De La Rosa to have on her record.

Santos will take to the octagon as the much greater striking threat, and although she’s yet to claim her first knockout in three UFC fights, she should show enough to win over the judges.

Prediction: Santos via decision


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