It’s make-or-break time in the 2020 NFL campaign, and the Indianapolis Colts are at a critical juncture in Week 13 as they travel to face AFC South rivals the Houston Texans.
Frank Reich’s side have won their last two road games but are facing a Texans (4-7) team in their best form of the season so far, having secured back-to-back victories for the first time in a year. Indianapolis (7-4) are hoping to keep pace with division pace-setters the Tennessee Titans, who are one win better off after 11 games, in the hope they can secure a wildcard berth or better.
The Colts came undone against Tennessee in Week 12 when they slumped to a 45-26 defeat, but Betrivers customers in Indianapolis can back their team as -180 moneyline favorites come Sunday (Dec. 6). This week’s guests suffered a slim 20-17 loss when they last visited NRG Stadium in November 2019, but current form hints they’ll have the momentum to return the favor this time around:
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans Game Info
Date: Sunday, December 6
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
TV Info: CBS
Colts @ Texans Moneyline Odds & Prediction: Colts by 4
Indianapolis Colts: -180
Houston Texans: +155
These AFC South nemeses will meet twice during December, giving special significance to their first clash and the confidence that will yield for this month’s double-header. The Colts have come out on top in five of the last seven encounters with Houston overall (including the post-season), going 7-0-1 against the spread in their last eight trips to NRG Stadium.
It’s likely Reich will place a major focus on reestablishing what was the league’s best defense not long ago, with the Colts giving up an uncharacteristic 38 points-per-game average in their last two outings. Linebacker Darius Leonard gave an embattled response after their defeat to the Titans, and a reinvigorated Indianapolis could spell bad omens for the Texans:
Keep fighting. pic.twitter.com/fVRFu0X1sd— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) November 29, 2020
Neither of these teams run the ball particularly well—only the Dolphins (3.6) have averaged fewer yards per rush than the Colts (3.7) this season—but Houston have also suffered a major blow in their passing corps after Will Fuller was suspended for six games due to a drugs violation. Along with the possible absences of fellow receiver Isaiah Coulter and running-back David Johnson (both injury doubts), Deshaun Watson could find himself struggling for elite options in Week 13.
Only one of the last 12 meetings between these teams has produced more than 50 points (Sept. 2018), and both the Colts’ 2019 wins over Houston were by at least a seven-point margin.
A parlay bet backing Indianapolis to win while covering a 3.5-point handicap, with fewer than 50.5 points scored, returns +275 odds and would have paid up in six of their last seven wins over the Texans.