New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Picks and Predictions

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New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Picks and Predictions

Author: Erik Gibbs | Publish Date: December 4, 2023 | Last Updated: December 4, 2023

The Pittsburgh Steelers host their second consecutive 2-10 team on Thursday night as the New England Patriots visit Acrisure Stadium to kick off Week 14 in the NFL.

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Head-To-Head: New England vs Pittsburgh

The Steelers are 7-5 after Sunday’s 24-10 loss to the Arizona Cardinals but still hold onto the #5 seed in the AFC playoff standings, a game behind the Kansas City Chiefs. They trail the Baltimore Ravens by two games in the AFC Central standings.

The Patriots lost their fifth straight game and suffered their second shutout in a 6-0 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers at home in Week 13. New England has the worst record in the AFC and is the first team since 1970 to lose three straight games while giving up 10 points or fewer in each loss. New England is listed as a 6-point underdog for this upcoming road matchup.

The Steelers and Patriots have played each other 34 times in their history, with New England leading the series with an 18-16 record and has won 47.8% of their matchups in Pittsburgh. The Patriots have won seven of the last eight games and will be looking for three in a row on Thursday night against their AFC rivals. New England won the last time these two teams met in 2022 by a 17-14 score.

How to Bet on New England vs Pittsburgh

This Thursday night clash between the Patriots and Steelers gives NFL fans many opportunities to wager on this game and all the upcoming Week 14 matchups at any of the country's legal online sportsbooks.

The top NFL betting apps offer new customers exciting signup offers and ongoing promotions when they open a new betting account. New players can easily open an account by completing a short registration process at their chosen provider’s site. 

New England vs Pittsburgh Odds

This AFC battle has Pittsburgh favored at -6 on the spread, with moneyline odds of -270 for them to win at home. Betting New England to win outright pays +220 odds, while odds for either team on the spread currently pay even money.  The over/under of 30.5 is among the lowest totals for any NFL game in 2023.

Betting Tips for New England vs Pittsburgh

The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games and six of their previous seven on the road. They have a 16-4 record in the last 20 games against the AFC North and 13-4-2 against the spread in the previous 19 matchups with the Steelers. 

Pittsburgh is 1-7 in the last eight games against the AFC East, but are 8-3 against the spread vs. their previous 11 conference opponents. The total has gone under in nine of the Steelers’ last ten games, and they are 4-8 the previous 12 times they’ve played on Thursday night.   

New England vs Pittsburgh Predictions

The Steelers lost starting QB Kenny Pickett in Sunday’s loss to the Cardinals, who must undergo minor surgery to repair an ankle injury that’s been plaguing him all season. The Patriots will rely on second-year quarterback Bailey Zappe to lead the offense. He has 299 yards and no touchdowns with two interceptions this season and stepped into the starting job after Mac Jones was benched before the Chargers game.

While Pittsburgh has moved the ball in the last two games, they still have problems getting into the end zone, and as well as New England’s defense has been playing, don’t expect them to change that trend with Mitch Trubisky at quarterback. Although the over/under line has been lowered slightly since it opened, expect the Steelers to get a close win while the total goes under the expected 30.5 points.

Prediction: Under 30.5

Erik Gibbs

Erik is a dynamic and seasoned journalist with a passion for all things sports and sports betting. With a career spanning over two decades, he has become a prominent figure in the world of sports journalism, admired for his insightful analysis and engaging storytelling.