A bettor looking to bet on an NBA betting line should first and foremost try to time the market to make sure they are going to get the best of the line for the particular game.
This is not an exact science but is critical to the success of the bettor. For a regular NBA bettor, it is the difference between a winning and losing wager in the long run.
While some circumstances that will change a settled line will be out of the bettor’s control, such as a late injury revelation, a top player being rested on short notice, or a pre-game trade or suspension, gamblers can do their own due diligence by following public betting percentages, betting steam and reverse line movement, and knowing teams’ rotations and patterns for resting top players.
In general, an NBA bettor should look to play favorites early and underdogs late in the betting cycle. The same can hold true somewhat for betting on totals, taking OVER early and UNDER late in the market cycle.
While not a steadfast rule, the popular thought is that the public prefers betting on favorites and OVER. As the game time approaches, public money continues to come in, resulting in possible up-ticks on the point-spread, money line or total.
Often said, the goal of the professional bettor is to beat the line (getting a better settlement of a betting line than the final line). By doing this, most experts feel this substantially increases the chance for long-term wagering success.